While Card Kingdom's pricing should give a pretty good idea of how much you'd have to pay if you wanted to buy the cards on the open market, the downside to this methodology is that it likely over-estimates how much you can sell your cards for because as an individual, you're likely not going to be able to get as much as a professional vendor can. Oh yeah, one other thing before we get into it: for this expected-value calculation, I'm using Card Kingdom's pricing (which is actually much, much lower than TCG Mid at the moment). The plan for today is simple: we're going to walk through the set rarity by rarity, figure out how much each rarity adds to the expected value of the box, talk about old-border cards, and then finally add everything together to get the expected value of a box. While normal old-border cards are easy enough to calculate (you'll open one per pack, and many vendors have presales listed, so we can easily find prices), foil old-border cards are a problem since they are extremely rare and major vendors aren't preselling them, but more on that in a bit. Time Spiral Remastered specifically has some unique quirks, especially with the Time Shifted / old-border card slot. While money isn't everything and there are plenty of reasons to open a box even if the value is bad (for fun, for drafting, etc.), if you're going to spend $200 on a box of cardboard, ideally, you'd like to know that the cardboard you open will be worth the investment. Basically, it's an attempt to figure out of a box is worth buying from a purely financial perspective. If you're not familiar with the concept of expected value, the idea is to figure out how much value you should expect to open in an average box. Time Spiral Remastered will be released this week, which means it's time to take a look at the set's expected value.
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